?

Log in

- TWC Aficionados -

> Recent Entries
> Archive
> Friends
> Profile
> Recommended
> previous 20 entries
> next 20 entries

Links
Tags List for twc_aficionados

June 13th, 2010


cieldumort
01:38 am - TWC Hurricane Week Kicks Off With Unseasonably Early Cape Verde Low

Historic June Tropical Cyclone Points of Origin


Weather.com Tropical Atlantic Map:
Invest 92L in the Central Tropical Atlantic


Credits: Weather.com Map Room

(3 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

June 9th, 2010


floundah
12:08 pm - In memory, 57 years ago today
Today is the anniversary of the 1953 Worcester MA tornado. 94 people died and 1288 were injured. Accord to the National Weather service, "Debris [was] found in the Boston area and on Cape Cod," including a "frozen mattress found in Massachusetts Bay near Weymouth."

My father was lucky enough to survive that; he was a teenager working in Worcester.

(Leave a weather report)

June 8th, 2010


floundah
03:10 pm - Some amazing pictures of the storm on Sunday
Here's some pictures taken by Boston.com readers of the storm and it's aftermath Sunday. Most of New England, NYC, and some other adjoining places were under a tornado watch. There's 30 pictures so far, perhaps with more to be added.

(4 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

June 6th, 2010


cixel
09:29 am
i get the feeling this forum is going to get some exercise this year

(22 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

June 4th, 2010


floundah
12:22 pm - Here's a new toy
It's the NWS Hot Seat Simulator! :D

(4 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

June 3rd, 2010


cieldumort
05:10 pm - New Oil Spill Community
bpoil

(Leave a weather report)

June 1st, 2010


cieldumort
01:08 pm - 1st Day of Atl Hurricane Season 2010 and x-Agatha now Invest 91L
The remnant low of former east pac tropical storm Agatha, responsible for well over 100 deaths in central America, is still in the northwestern Caribbean, and has just been tagged Invest 91L, our second Atlantic invest of this year.

Conditions in the Caribbean are somewhat favorable for further development.


(2 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

May 31st, 2010


cieldumort
08:42 am - Tomorrow is the First Day of the 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Thank you to all who voted so far in our annual TWC_A Hurricane Season Poll. If you haven't yet voted, there are only hours left to do so (Vote vote!)

NOAA a few days ago released their forecast for this year and it's a doozie. Dr. Gray and Phil Klotzbach will be releasing their updated forecast on June 2. A few days ago Dr. Gray told the press that 2010 "looks like a hell of a year" in the Atlantic basin, which includes the Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico and eastern seaboard.

Here is the press release from NOAA

NOAA Expects Busy Atlantic Hurricane Season

May 27, 2010

Hurricane Ike.

Hurricane Ike, 2008.

High resolution (Credit: NOAA)

An “active to extremely active” hurricane season is expected for the Atlantic Basin this year according to the seasonal outlook issued today by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center – a division of the National Weather Service. As with every hurricane season, this outlook underscores the importance of having a hurricane preparedness plan in place.

Across the entire Atlantic Basin for the six-month season, which begins June 1, NOAA is projecting a 70 percent probability of the following ranges:

  • 14 to 23 Named Storms (top winds of 39 mph or higher), including:
  • 8 to 14 Hurricanes (top winds of 74 mph or higher), of which:
  • 3 to 7 could be Major Hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of at least 111 mph)

“If this outlook holds true, this season could be one of the more active on record,” said Jane Lubchenco, Ph.D., under secretary of commerce for oceans and atmosphere and NOAA administrator. “The greater likelihood of storms brings an increased risk of a landfall. In short, we urge everyone to be prepared.”

The outlook ranges exceed the seasonal average of 11 named storms, six hurricanes and two major hurricanes. Expected factors supporting this outlook are:

  • Upper atmospheric winds conducive for storms. Wind shear, which can tear apart storms, will be weaker since El Niño in the eastern Pacific has dissipated. Strong wind shear helped suppress storm development during the 2009 hurricane season.
  • Warm Atlantic Ocean water. Sea surface temperatures are expected to remain above average where storms often develop and move across the Atlantic. Record warm temperatures – up to four degrees Fahrenheit above average – are now present in this region.
  • High activity era continues. Since 1995, the tropical multi-decadal signal has brought favorable ocean and atmospheric conditions in sync, leading to more active hurricane seasons. Eight of the last 15 seasons rank in the top ten for the most named storms with 2005 in first place with 28 named storms.
Hurricane Noel.

Hurricane Noel, 2007.

High resolution (Credit: NOAA)

“The main uncertainty in this outlook is how much above normal the season will be. Whether or not we approach the high end of the predicted ranges depends partly on whether or not La Niña develops this summer,” said Gerry Bell, Ph.D., lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. “At present we are in a neutral state, but conditions are becoming increasingly favorable for La Niña to develop.”

"FEMA is working across the administration and with our state and local partners to ensure we're prepared for hurricane season," said FEMA Administrator Craig Fugate. "But we can only be as prepared as the public, so it's important that families and businesses in coastal communities take steps now to be ready. These include developing a communications plan, putting together a kit, and staying informed of the latest forecasts and local emergency plans. You can't control when a hurricane or other emergency may happen, but you can make sure you're ready."

The president recently designated May 23-29, 2010, as National Hurricane Preparedness Week. NOAA and FEMA encourage those living in hurricane-prone states to use this time to review their overall preparedness. More information on individual and family preparedness can be found at www.Ready.gov and www.hurricanes.gov/prepare.

NOAA scientists will continue to monitor evolving conditions in the tropics and will issue an updated hurricane outlook in early August, just prior to what is historically the peak period for hurricane activity.

NOAA’s mission is to understand and predict changes in the Earth's environment, from the depths of the ocean to the surface of the sun, and to conserve and manage our coastal and marine resources. Visit us on Facebook.


(5 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

cieldumort
08:03 am - "Agatha" Is Now In The Caribbean
"Agatha" 01E could become "Agatha" (or Alex) 01L later today

Image credit: NRL

x-posted to twc_aficionados  and weathernerds

(3 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

May 27th, 2010


cieldumort
06:13 am - 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season Starts June 1
2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season List of Names:

Alex, Bonnie, Colin, Danielle dan-YELL, Earl, Fiona, Gaston,Hermine her-MEEN, Igor e-GOR, Julia, Karl, Lisa LEE-sa, Matthew, Nicole ni-COLE, Otto, Paula, Richard RICH-erd, Shary SHA-ree, Tomas to-MAS, Virginie vir-JIN-ee, Walter.


What Kind of a Season Do You Expect This Year in the Atlantic Basin?
Poll #1570458 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season
This poll is closed.

How Many Storms (Subtropical or Tropical)?

Less Than 5
0(0.0%)
5-7
0(0.0%)
8-10
1(11.1%)
11-13
2(22.2%)
14-16
1(11.1%)
17-19
2(22.2%)
20-22
2(22.2%)
23-25
0(0.0%)
More Than 25!
1(11.1%)

How Many Hurricanes?

None
0(0.0%)
1 or 2
0(0.0%)
3 or 4
1(11.1%)
5 or 6
1(11.1%)
7 or 8
3(33.3%)
9 or 10
1(11.1%)
11 or 12
3(33.3%)
13 or 14
0(0.0%)
More Than 14!
0(0.0%)

How Many Major (Cat 3 or Higher) Hurricanes?

None
0(0.0%)
1
0(0.0%)
2
1(11.1%)
3
2(22.2%)
4
2(22.2%)
5
2(22.2%)
6
2(22.2%)
7
0(0.0%)
8
0(0.0%)
More Than 8!
0(0.0%)

How Many Direct US Hits or Landfalls?

None
0(0.0%)
1
0(0.0%)
2
2(22.2%)
3
1(11.1%)
4
1(11.1%)
5
2(22.2%)
6
2(22.2%)
7
1(11.1%)
8
0(0.0%)
More Than 8!
0(0.0%)


(5 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

May 25th, 2010


cieldumort
10:33 am - TWC To Begin Providing Local Forecasts on DISH Network

DISH Network and The Weather Channel Reach Agreement

Includes development of new full-time weather forecasting services

DISH Network L.L.C. and The Weather Channel today announced that they have reached a multi-year agreement for continued distribution of The Weather Channel on DISH Network's programming platform.

The deal provides for collaboration between both companies in developing state-of-the-art, full-time weather forecasting services designed specifically for satellite customers, including localized weather programming on DISH Network Ch. 213 (in addition to The Weather Channel's main feed on Ch. 214), interactive TV applications, as well as new Internet and mobile services. Deployment of the new services will begin this summer.

"Through this new partnership with The Weather Channel, DISH Network is giving our subscribers exactly what they've asked for and more. Not only are we developing a unique satellite service that provides localized weather 24/7, but also we'll soon deliver personalized weather reports via the Android mobile platform and the web," said Dave Shull, senior vice president of Programming for DISH Network. "This agreement recognizes the importance of cross-platform video delivery, ensuring that our subscribers will have the most detailed local weather information available at their fingertips anytime, anywhere."

"DISH Network and their customers are extremely important to us, and maintaining and expanding our partnership is a high priority for our company," said Mike Kelly, CEO and President of The Weather Channel. "DISH Network will now be carrying two of our channels - The Weather Channel and a customized 24-hour, all-local weather information network - to provide even better service to their customers. We also look forward to working with DISH Network on other cross-platform and interactive initiatives, taking advantage of our leadership position in mobile and the Internet."


(2 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

cieldumort
10:29 am - With Hurricane Season Officially Starting June 1, This Update on TWC Tropical Updates

Dr. Richard Knabb Joins The Weather Channel As Tropical Weather Expert

 

The Weather Channel® Companies (TWCC) names Dr. Richard Knabb as the network's new hurricane expert and tropical program manager. Dr. Knabb will be TWC's on-camera hurricane expert providing in-depth forecast analysis and tropical storm updates as they happen.

In making the announcement, Geoffrey Darby, executive vice president of programming for The Weather Channel, said, "Rick brings tremendous experience to this role and is no stranger to high profile hurricane activity, having worked with the National Hurricane Center (NHC) during the record-setting 2005 Atlantic season. He will help lead our on-air and cross-platform tropical coverage, providing continuous updates as hurricanes and tropical storms develop." 

As a senior hurricane specialist at NHC from 2005-2008, he prepared and issued official forecasts and warnings during the 2005 hurricane season with Hurricanes Dennis, Emily, Katrina, Rita and Wilma.  Perhaps most notably, Dr. Knabb signed the advisory announcing that Katrina had become a major hurricane over the Gulf of Mexico. He also served as NHC's science and operations officer from 2001-2005.

Most recently, Dr. Knabb has been deputy director and director of operations of the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) and NWS Forecast Office in Honolulu, Hawaii. While there, he led the development and implementation of the first-ever joint CPHC/FEMA hurricane preparedness course for emergency managers.  Throughout his career in NOAA, in addition to personally preparing and issuing more than 200 official tropical cyclone operational forecast packages, Dr. Knabb has been involved in emergency management, military and academia collaboration, technology incorporation,  and public speaking and media interviews.

Dr. Knabb is a member of the American Meteorological Society (AMS) and is part of the AMS Board of Government Meteorologists. He has published numerous works in scientific journals and as conference papers. Dr. Knabb received his Ph.D in meteorology and his master's degree in meteorology from Florida State University and his bachelor's degree in atmospheric science from Purdue University. 

Dr. Knabb replaces the network's current tropical weather expert, Dr. Steve Lyons, who has accepted a position with the National Weather Service as the meteorologist-in-charge of the San Angelo, Texas office.


(4 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

May 21st, 2010


cieldumort
11:26 am - Introducing A First For 2010: Invest 90L

Image Credit: NRL

(8 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

May 20th, 2010


cieldumort
03:48 am - Anniversary of BP Disaster, Still Spilling 1 Exxon Valdez Every 4 Days, Entering Loop Current

(2 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

cieldumort
03:37 am - NOAA: 2010 May End As The Warmest Year In Modern Record

NOAA: Warmest April Global Temperature on Record

Also Warmest January-April

May 17, 2010

The combined global land and ocean surface temperature was the warmest on record for both April and for the period from January-April, according to NOAA. Additionally, last month’s average ocean surface temperature was the warmest on record for any April, and the global land surface temperature was the third warmest on record...
 

Global Temperature Highlights – April 2010

Temperature Anomalies April 2010.

High resolution (Credit: NOAA)

  • The combined April global land and ocean average surface temperature was the warmest on record at 58.1°F (14.5°C), which is 1.37°F (0.76°C) above the 20th century average of 56.7°F (13.7°C).
  • The combined global land and ocean average surface temperature was the warmest on record for January-April at 56.0°F (13.3°C), which is 1.24°F (0.69°C) above the 20th century average.
  • Separately, the global ocean surface temperature was 1.03°F (0.57°C) above the 20th century average of 60.9°F (16.0°C) and the warmest on record for April. The warmth was most pronounced in the equatorial portions of the major oceans, especially the Atlantic.

(3 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

April 30th, 2010


floundah
10:52 pm - POTD: "'Snowmageddon' on Saturn snapped by amateur stargazers"
Gigantic ammonia blizzard storms of the ringed giant
The Register
By Lewis Page

A tip-off from an amateur astronomer has enabled top planet-gazing boffins to probe a fearful ammonia snowstorm deep in the roiling atmosphere of Saturn, ringed giant world of the outer solar system.



Credit: NASA, Cassini

Read more...

(Leave a weather report)

cieldumort
01:29 am - BP Oil Spill on Track to Worst Exxon Valdez. Happy Belated Earth Day.
From Weather.com
Will weather push oil to coast?

Video: Oil leak much bigger than first thought
    
Aside from the extreme difficulty of both containing and shutting off the ruptured oil well in the Gulf of Mexico, there is concern that weather could play a role in determining whether this growing oil slick, roughly greater than the surface area of Delaware, eventually is driven toward beaches or fragile ecosystems along the Gulf Coast. 


PRESENT LOCATION
First, let's pinpoint the location of the oil slick.  Below is a high-resolution satellite image from NASA-MODIS.  The grayish colored oil slick is circled.  As of this writing, the western edge of the slick is within 5 miles of the southeast Louisiana coast.   


Image:  NASA-MODIS

 
Winds will only increase Friday into Saturday, as a frontal system approaches from the Plains, then stalls out.  Unfortunately, by this weekend, the long-duration wind event could mean parts of the oil slick may approach parts of the Louisiana and Mississippi coasts. 




Images:  Wright-Weather
 
Due to its close proximity, the most vulnerable areas will be the Chandeleur Islands off eastern Louisiana, as well as the Delta National Wildlife Refuge southeast of Venice, La. 

In fact, it's possible this long-duration southerly wind flow may continue through early next week!

(2 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

April 24th, 2010


cieldumort
01:54 pm - Yazoo City, Ms. Struck By Violent Tornado in Developing Outbreak
From Weather.com

Particularly Dangerous Situation: Tornado Outbreak

by Tim Ballisty , on Apr 24, 2010 7:17 am ET
Update: A large,powerful, long-tracking tornado struck Yazoo City, Mississippi just after 12 noon CT on Saturday.

Storm spotters and chasers were tracking this "wedge" tornado for about an hour before it tore through Yazoo.

The tornado was anywhere from 1/2 to 3/4 of mile in diameter.

There is significant damage in Yazoo with multiple structures destroyed.

We'll have more on this story as it unfolds and more information becomes available.

Continue to follow our updates on weather.com's News and Development's page.

            Tornado signature on radar reflectivity mode 12:10pm CT Saturday
                        (image via weathertap.com)
   

SPC Day1 1630Z Outlook Categorical

Above: SPC Day 1 Outlook 

(4 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

March 19th, 2010


floundah
08:12 pm - POTD(s) and Moar!
If you haven't heard about it already, here's some pictures of the flooding from the Metro Boston area: http://www.boston.com/news/weather/specials/flooding_mass_2010/. It was pretty crazy.

Credits: Boston.com and various readers

(Leave a weather report)

March 10th, 2010


cieldumort
12:50 pm - Tropical Storm Forms Off Coast of Brazil

Invest 90Q/Tropical Storm SL

Invest 90Q is now a tropical storm off the coast of Brazil in the South Atlantic. Maximum sustained winds this morning reached an estimated 45mph. The cyclone has continued to improve in organization.

South Atlantic tropical cyclones are very rare. Wikipedia has an ongoing list of the known, identified storms, all from the satellite era. The most famous of these is Catarina, which was responsible for several hundred million dollars in damage, and several fatalities.

(3 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

> previous 20 entries
> next 20 entries
> Go to Top
LiveJournal.com