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October 31st, 2011


cieldumort
04:36 pm - Happy Halloween
Here's a quick little video of Jim Cantore with CNBC from this morning that is made of lol...


(4 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

August 27th, 2011


cieldumort
05:42 pm - Irene Just a Little Wet (Live Stream) STORM SURGE

(Leave a weather report)

floundah
04:34 pm - In honour of the Esteemed Irene
I hereby bring you the French Toast Alert System, as well as a poem by my friend Felicity G.:

Hurricane '11 -

'Twas the Morn before Irene,
And all through the trees,
Not a current was moving,
Not even a breeze.

The residents packed
Their balc'nies with haste,
In hopes that damn Irene
Would have less to make waste....

And the cat doesn't give a f---.*

* text modified to suit delicate ears.
Current Mood: busy

(Leave a weather report)

cieldumort
01:31 pm - Tropical Update: Irene Pounding Eastern NC

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August 25th, 2011


cieldumort
01:27 pm - Weather Channel Related Irene Links
Weather.com Livestream

Hurricane Irene Live Chat For August 25 2-4PM Eastern Time

Possible Northeast Impacts

US Evacuations & Preparations

Video: Tropical Update

Irene Projected Path & Impacts

Hurricane Prep For Your Pets

(5 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

cieldumort
01:56 am - Hurricane Irene Potentially Epic










Image credits: Weather.com/maps

From Weather.com Hurricane Central



Hurricane Irene: Major Northeast Threats



It's not every day you see a hurricane forecast cone pointed into the Northeast.


In fact, the concern among meteorologists is high. National Hurricane Center Director Bill Read: "We are very concerned with what's going to happen in New England. The benchmark is the 1938 hurricane. I am very concerned with what will happen there."


The potential is real for the strongest hurricane hit on the Northeast in at least a couple decades this weekend!


...
How rare are Northeast hurricanes?


Going back to 1851, there have been only 5 hurricanes whose centers of circulation have passed within 75 miles of New York City. The last hurricane within that distance from New York City was Hurricane Gloria 26 years ago.



Read article: NYC's hurricane history


Similarly, only 10 hurricanes since 1851 have passed within 75 miles of Boston. The most recent was almost exactly 20 years ago: Hurricane Bob...






(9 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

March 11th, 2011


cieldumort
02:58 am - Tsunami Warning Now In Effect for Oregon and N. California Coasts
Tsunami Warning Now In Effect for Oregon and N. California Coasts

Tsunami Warning

TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 4
NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
1244 AM PST FRI MAR 11 2011

THIS MESSAGE UPDATES THE ALERT STATUS TO WARNING AND ADVISORY.

...A TSUNAMI WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT WHICH INCLUDES THE
   COASTAL AREAS OF CALIFORNIA AND OREGON FROM POINT
   CONCEPCION CALIFORNIA TO THE OREGON-WASHINGTON BORDER...

...A TSUNAMI WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT WHICH INCLUDES THE
   COASTAL AREAS OF ALASKA FROM AMCHITKA PASS ALASKA/125 MILES
   W OF ADAK/ TO ATTU ALASKA...

...THE TSUNAMI ADVISORY IS EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THE COASTAL
   AREAS OF CALIFORNIA FROM THE CALIFORNIA-MEXICO BORDER TO
   POINT CONCEPCION CALIFORNIA...

...THE TSUNAMI ADVISORY IS EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THE COASTAL
   AREAS OF WASHINGTON - BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA FROM THE
   OREGON-WASHINGTON BORDER TO CHIGNIK BAY ALASKA...

...THE TSUNAMI ADVISORY CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL
   AREAS OF ALASKA FROM CHIGNIK BAY ALASKA TO AMCHITKA PASS
   ALASKA/125 MILES W OF ADAK/...

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
 A TSUNAMI HAS BEEN GENERATED WHICH IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE DAMAGE
 TO THE WARNING AND/OR ADVISORY REGIONS LISTED IN THE HEADLINE.
 PERSONS IN LOW-LYING COASTAL AREAS SHOULD BE ALERT TO
 INSTRUCTIONS FROM THEIR LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. EVACUATIONS
 ARE ONLY ORDERED BY EMERGENCY RESPONSE AGENCIES.
 - PERSONS IN TSUNAMI WARNING COASTAL AREAS SHOULD MOVE INLAND TO
   HIGHER GROUND.

 - PERSONS IN TSUNAMI ADVISORY COASTAL AREAS SHOULD MOVE OUT OF
   THE WATER... OFF THE BEACH AND OUT OF HARBORS AND MARINAS.

MEASUREMENTS OR REPORTS OF TSUNAMI ACTIVITY

 LOCATION                   LAT    LON     TIME        AMPL
 ------------------------  -----  ------  -------     -----------
 TOSASHIMIZU  JAPAN        32.8N  132.9E  0747UTC   00.9FT/00.27M
 TOKAI  JAPAN              33.8N  137.6E  0645UTC   00.8FT/00.25M
 OFUNATO  JAPAN            39.0N  141.8E  0605UTC   10.8FT/03.29M
 HANASAKI  JAPAN           43.3N  145.6E  0643UTC   09.3FT/02.82M
 BOSO  JAPAN               34.8N  140.8E  0609UTC   02.6FT/00.78M

TIME - TIME OF MEASUREMENT
AMPL - TSUNAMI AMPLITUDES ARE MEASURED RELATIVE TO NORMAL SEA LEVEL.
       IT IS ...NOT... CREST-TO-TROUGH WAVE HEIGHT.
       VALUES ARE GIVEN IN BOTH METERS(M) AND FEET(FT).

 DEEP OCEAN SENSORS INDICATE A LARGE TSUNAMI HAS BEEN GENERATED.

PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
 MAGNITUDE - 8.9
 TIME      - 2046 AKST MAR 10 2011
             2146  PST MAR 10 2011
             0546  UTC MAR 11 2011
 LOCATION  - 38.3 NORTH 142.4 EAST
           - NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU JAPAN
 DEPTH     - 12 MILES/20 KM

TSUNAMI WARNINGS MEAN THAT A TSUNAMI WITH SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD
INUNDATION IS IMMINENT OR EXPECTED.  WARNINGS INDICATE THAT
WIDESPREAD DANGEROUS COASTAL FLOODING ACCOMPANIED BY POWERFUL
CURRENTS IS POSSIBLE AND MAY CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS AFTER THE
INITIAL WAVE ARRIVAL.

TSUNAMI ADVISORIES MEAN THAT A TSUNAMI CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
STRONG CURRENTS OR WAVES DANGEROUS TO PERSONS IN OR VERY NEAR THE
WATER IS EXPECTED.  SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD INUNDATION
IS NOT EXPECTED FOR AREAS UNDER AN ADVISORY.  CURRENTS MAY BE
HAZARDOUS TO SWIMMERS... BOATS... AND COASTAL STRUCTURES AND MAY
CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS AFTER THE INITIAL WAVE ARRIVAL.

(6 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

cieldumort
12:31 am - 8.9 Earthquake Hits Just Offshore Japan, Powerful Tsunami Underway
Initial estimates from USGS were between 7.7 and 7.9, but this quake was just upgraded - and the tsunami is very powerful.


MSNBC
Image: RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE - MANDATORY
NHK via AFP - Getty Images

Tsunami hits north Japan after massive earthquake

  Local television shows footage of houses, cars being swept away. Full story


 

(Leave a weather report)

November 9th, 2010


floundah
01:14 pm - An analysis of the tornadoes and macroburst that hit NYC 9/16/2010
Courtesy of NOAA, here's an excellent page about the tornadoes and macroburst on Sept. 16, 2010 in NYC. They just publicized it on Facebook today.

(3 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

October 17th, 2010


cieldumort
03:41 pm - Record-Setting Super Typhoon Megi on Approach to Philippines
From Weather.com

Updated: October 17, 2010  2:00 pm ET
Megi has undergone rapid intensification late Saturday night, and is now classified as a "Super Typhoon" as it tracks toward the northern Philippines. 

See Typhoon Megi in motion
West Pacific IR satellite image
Click image to enlarge and animate

Megi (Korean for "catfish"), became the first tropical cyclone in the western Pacific Basin to achieve "Super Typhoon" status this year, with maximum sustained winds at least 150 mph.  Late Sunday morning, peak sustained winds had reached an incredible 180 mph, with gusts estimated to 220 mph!  This is easily Category 5 strength

Its central pressure was measured by reconnaissance aircraft to have plunged as low as 893 mb.  While reconnaissance is not routine for western Pacific tropical cyclones, this aircraft not only measured the incredible low pressure and high winds, but also witnessed lighting in the eyewall, a signature of an intensifying tropical cyclone. 


The eye of Super Typhoon Megi taken 1:00 am EDT Sunday
Image:  NASA MODIS

There have been only 3 Atlantic hurricanes on record with a lower central pressure than Megi:

  • "Labor Day" (1935):   892 mb
  • Gilbert (1988):  888 mb
  • Wilma (2005):  882 mb

Megi's central pressure was lower than the following infamous hurricanes at their lowest pressure:


Typhoon Tip (1979) holds the record in any basin for the lowest recorded pressure, an incredible 870 mb, 12 mb lower than Wilma. 
 
According to the latest forecast path, Megi will plow into the northern Philippine island of Luzon  Sunday night, U.S. time.  Currently, Megi is expected to pass north of the Philippine capital, Manila (population:  1.6 million). 

Typhoon warnings were posted by the Philippine government along coastal and landslide-prone parts of Luzon.  Authorities were urged to suspend fishing and sea travel.  Residents of low-lying Cagayan and Isabella Provinces had voluntarily evacuated to higher ground.


Super Typhoon Megi forecast path
Image:  Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Megi would then track into the South China Sea and likely reintensify ahead of a second landfall in China or Vietnam later this week.

It had been quiet in the western Pacific Basin.  According to Florida State University's Dr. Ryan Maue, prior to Megi's formation, 2010 season activity in the western Pacific had dipped to historic lows, with reliable records dating back to 1945. 

There have been only 14 named storms, including Megi, in the western Pacific Basin so far this season.  The least number in one season was 18 named storms in 1998. 

(8 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

September 18th, 2010


floundah
01:27 pm - POTD(s) Day: two tornadoes and a macroburst confirmed in NYC
Check out the reader photos in the NYT: http://nyti.ms/cLcagk -- see picture 84 in particular where the sky is a deep green.

Here's the full report. Unfortunately, one person died.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS

000
NOUS41 KOKX 180224 CCA
PNSOKX
CTZ005>012-NJZ002>006-011-NYZ067>081-180600-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1022 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

...TWO TORNADOES AND A MACROBURST CONFIRMED ON SEPTEMBER 16 2010...

...CORRECTED TO CHANGE MICROBURST TO MACROBURST BECAUSE MAXIMUM PATH
WIDTH WAS GREATER THAN 2 1/2 MILES.

...TORNADO CONFIRMED NEAR PARK SLOPE IN KINGS COUNTY (BROOKLYN) NY...

LOCATION...PARK SLOPE IN KINGS COUNTY (BROOKLYN) NY
DATE...SEPTEMBER 16 2010
ESTIMATED TIME...5:33 PM EDT
MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF0
ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...80 MPH
MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...75 YARDS
YARDS PATH LENGTH...2 MILES
BEGINNING LAT/LON...40.67 N / 73.99 W
ENDING LAT/LON...40.69 N /73.96 W
* FATALITIES...0
* INJURIES...0

* THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO
CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT(S) AND PUBLICATION IN NWS
STORM DATA.

...SUMMARY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK NY HAS CONFIRMED A TORNADO
NEAR PARK SLOPE (BROOKLYN) IN KINGS COUNTY NY ON SEPTEMBER 16 2010.

THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN PARK SLOPE AND LIFTED 2 MILES NE OF
PARK SLOPE.

THIS INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND ON OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/NYC.

FOR REFERENCE...THE ENHANCED FUJITA SCALE CLASSIFIES TORNADOES INTO
THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES:

EF0...WIND SPEEDS 65 TO 85 MPH.
EF1...WIND SPEEDS 86 TO 110 MPH.
EF2...WIND SPEEDS 111 TO 135 MPH.
EF3...WIND SPEEDS 136 TO 165 MPH.
EF4...WIND SPEEDS 166 TO 200 MPH.
EF5...WIND SPEEDS GREATER THAN 200 MPH.

&&

...TORNADO CONFIRMED NEAR FLUSHING AND BAYSIDE IN QUEENS COUNTY NY...

LOCATION...FLUSHING/BAYSIDE IN QUEENS COUNTY NY
DATE...SEPTEMBER 16 2010
ESTIMATED TIME...5:42 PM EDT
MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF1
ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...100 MPH
MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...100 YARDS
PATH LENGTH...4 MILES
BEGINNING LAT/LON...40.74 N / 73.84 W
ENDING LAT/LON...40.80 N / 73.76 W
* FATALITIES...1
* INJURIES...0

* THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO
CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT(S) AND PUBLICATION IN NWS
STORM DATA.

...SUMMARY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK NY HAS CONFIRMED A TORNADO
NEAR FLUSHING/BAYSIDE IN QUEENS COUNTY NY ON SEPTEMBER 16 2010.

THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 2 1/2 MILES SOUTH OF FLUSHING AND LIFTED
1 MILE NE OF BAYSIDE.

THIS INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND ON OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/NYC.

FOR REFERENCE...THE ENHANCED FUJITA SCALE CLASSIFIES TORNADOES INTO
THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES:

EF0...WIND SPEEDS 65 TO 85 MPH.
EF1...WIND SPEEDS 86 TO 110 MPH.
EF2...WIND SPEEDS 111 TO 135 MPH.
EF3...WIND SPEEDS 136 TO 165 MPH.
EF4...WIND SPEEDS 166 TO 200 MPH.
EF5...WIND SPEEDS GREATER THAN 200 MPH.

&&

...MACROBURST /STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE/ CONFIRMED NEAR
MIDDLE VILLAGE AND FOREST HILLS IN QUEENS COUNTY NY...

LOCATION...MIDDLE VILLAGE/FOREST HILLS IN QUEENS COUNTY NY
DATE...SEPTEMBER 16 2010
ESTIMATED TIME...5:40 PM EDT
ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...125 MPH
MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...5 MILES
PATH LENGTH...8 MILES
* FATALITIES...0
* INJURIES...0

* THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO
CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT(S) AND PUBLICATION IN NWS
STORM DATA.

...SUMMARY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK NY HAS CONFIRMED A
MACROBURST /STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE/ NEAR MIDDLE VILLAGE IN QUEENS
COUNTY NY ON SEPTEMBER 16 2010.

THE PATH OF THE MACROBURST WAS FROM MIDDLE VILLAGE TO FOREST HILLS.

THIS INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND ON OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/NYC.

FOR REFERENCE...
A MACROBURST IS A CONVECTIVE DOWNDRAFT WITH AN AFFECTED OUTFLOW AREA
OF AT LEAST 2 1/2 MILES WIDE AND PEAK WINDS LASTING BETWEEN 5 AND 20
MINUTES. INTENSE MACROBURSTS MAY CAUSE TORNADO-FORCE DAMAGE OF UP TO
EF3 INTENSITY. STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS ARE GENERALLY ANY WIND THAT IS
NOT ASSOCIATED WITH ROTATION...USED MAINLY TO DIFFERENTIATE THEM
FROM TORNADIC WINDS.


$$

38

(Leave a weather report)

August 31st, 2010


floundah
08:23 pm - Let's take bets
What do you think the chances are of Earl hitting NYC and Boston are? Why? How strong to you think it will be by the time it gets up this way? Tropical storm? Hurricane (how strong?)

(9 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

August 24th, 2010


floundah
11:14 pm - Hurricane pr0n (time sensitive)
Looky

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/100824_g15_vis_srso_anim.gif

"A new geostationary weather satellite (GOES-15) is undergoing science testing and it produced this Super Rapid Scan Imagery of Hurricane Danielle - visible images captured every minute." -- National Hurricane Center
Current Music: "Via resti servita" from the Marriage of Figaro

(1 weather report | Leave a weather report)

July 4th, 2010


cieldumort
03:52 pm - Invests 95L & 96L Both Close To U.S. Both Rapidly Improving Today, Likely US Impacts
Two well-developed features in the western Atlantic are rapidly improving today, and one of them, also the one closest to shore: Invest 95L, may already be a tropical cyclone as of this post.

Extremely well-developed Invest 95L south of La.


Large & developing Invest 96L in the W Caribbean



x-Posted to twc_aficionados & weathernerds

If you are not yet a member of both of these communities and are a weather geek, I encourage you to join!


Atlantic Basin Sea Surface Temps Look Like September Already

Image credit: Weather.com

(10 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

June 30th, 2010


cieldumort
06:36 pm - 950 Mb Hurricane Alex
Alex while about 950Mb
Hurricane Alex
The Atlantic Basin's Fist June Hurricane Since 1995 
And Strongest Atlantic June Tropical Cyclone Since at least 1966*

Hurricane Alma in 1966 Had Est. Max Sustained Winds of 125 MPH (Alex so far 100+/- MPH), and Alma had Estimated Min Central Pressure of 970mb (Alex so far an astoundingly much deeper 950mb)


(2 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

June 26th, 2010


cieldumort
12:15 pm - Nice View of Tropical Storm Alex

(1 weather report | Leave a weather report)

June 25th, 2010


cieldumort
08:20 pm - 93L Now 1st Official TD of the 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season
From Weather.com

Tropical Depression One

by TWCi Digital Content Team

A tropical wave we've been tracking across the Caribbean over the last several days has gained enough organization to be designated Tropical Depression One.

This system is forecast to become Tropical Storm Alex and is expected to move in a general northwest direction towards Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula through Saturday.

Heavy rain may result in life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides in eastern Guatemala, Honduras, Belize and Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula.

For the latest information see: Tropical Update

Video: Tropical Update

Get the facts: Hurricanes vs. the Oil Spill

Projected Path
Forecast path and timing.

 
 
Storm Information
Current location, winds, pressure and movement.
 
 
Interactive Satellite
Zoom and pan around on the latest imagery.
 
 
Watches & Warnings
See the latest tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings.
 
 
Saffir-Simpson Scale
What's the difference between a Category 1 & a Category 5 hurricane?
 
 
Tropical Origins & Tracks
Maps by month on where hurricanes form & the paths they follow.

(Leave a weather report)

cieldumort
03:00 am - Former Central Atlantic Invest 92L is Now Being Tracked as Invest 93L in the W Caribbean
 smal932010.10062500.gif thumbnailsm20100625.0715.goes13.x.ir1km_bw.93LINVEST.25kts-1006mb-158N-815W.100pc.jpg<br /> thumbnail

Invest 93L Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert


From TWC Blog
June 24, 2010
Where are the hurricanes?
Add this to:
del.icio.us Digg Reddit Facebook Newsvine
 
Stu Ostro, Senior Meteorologist

 





That's the question starting to be asked, given all the forecasts for a hyperactive season.

So, what is the significance of not yet having any storms in the Atlantic basin?

The 2004 and 2005 seasons help illustrate the answer(s).


On the one hand, the 2005 season has been evoked in relation to 2010 because a couple of key preseason signals have been similar (end of El Nino, and exceptionally warm water in the tropical Atlantic). If this year is to rival 2005 in terms of the total number of storms, we're already one behind, and would fall much farther behind within a few weeks if things stay quiet given that in '05 there were four tropical cyclones by the 4th of July with three more quickly following, for a total of seven by July 23.

Although the climatological peak months of August, September, and October were very active that year, 11 storms formed outside of those months. That's approximately what the long-term average is for a whole season. And that's how 2005 ended up with such a crazy high total number of storms (28): they came early and often and continued forming right up till early winter!

Therefore, one answer to that question about the significance of having no storms yet is that how many develop early in the season matters if one is keeping score with 2005.

On the other hand, let's look at that other illustrative example, 2004.


There were no storms until August (what would become Alex was a tropical depression on July 31), and "only" 15 named storms developed the whole season ... but four of them were named Charley, Frances, Ivan, and Jeanne.


(1 weather report | Leave a weather report)

June 14th, 2010


cieldumort
02:34 am - Cape Verde Gone Wild?
The central and eastern tropical Atlantic looks a lot more like mid/late August, than June. This is nuts.



And you simply do not get better-looking Cape Verde features this early in a season than Invest 92L:




(6 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

June 13th, 2010


cieldumort
01:38 am - TWC Hurricane Week Kicks Off With Unseasonably Early Cape Verde Low

Historic June Tropical Cyclone Points of Origin


Weather.com Tropical Atlantic Map:
Invest 92L in the Central Tropical Atlantic


Credits: Weather.com Map Room

(3 weather reports | Leave a weather report)

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